The future of Erdogan’s political career hangs in the balance with Turkey’s Kurdish population serving as the decisive factor

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In the upcoming election in Turkey, the pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) has emerged as a kingmaker. The decision by the HDP not to field their own candidate allows their supporters to vote for Erdogan’s main rival, potentially unseating the two-decade ruler. This twist of irony comes after years of crackdown on the HDP by Erdogan, who saw the party as a threat to his voter base.

The HDP’s influence may determine the course of Turkey’s politics, and their decision not to field a candidate has sparked speculation that they may back Erdogan’s main rival. As the largest minority in Turkey, the Kurds’ support is crucial in elections. It is unclear if the HDP will endorse Erdogan’s rival, but analysts believe that their deliberate distance may favor the opposition candidate.

The HDP faces a precarious situation due to accusations and a possible ban over its alleged ties to the militant Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). Aligning with the HDP could result in the opposition being discredited as pro-PKK by Erdogan’s AK Party. Despite the challenges, the HDP understands its key role in the elections and aims to avoid a polarized political climate.

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