Beijing Threatens Retaliation as Taiwan Leader Visits US, Amplifying Stakes
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The anticipated meeting between Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen and US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy in California this week has raised concerns, given China’s previous pressure campaign when then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taipei. Beijing encircled Taiwan with military drills last year, firing missiles and sending warplanes, in response to what it perceived as a violation of its sovereignty.
This time, Beijing has already threatened to “resolutely fight back” if the meeting goes ahead. However, the meeting taking place in California and its timing may lead Beijing to tread more carefully this time, as any overreaction would only push China further away from the world.
The expected meeting is significant for both Taiwan and the US, as it marks another symbolic moment in their relationship. Increased cooperation between Taiwan and the US has followed China’s mounting pressure on the island, and supporting Taiwan against unilateral actions by Beijing is likely to be on the table during the meeting.
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Beijing’s response to the meeting will be closely watched, considering the precarious state of US-China relations. An aggressive response could have negative consequences for China’s image and its relations with other countries. It could also impact Taiwan’s upcoming presidential election and a high-profile tour of mainland China by a former Taiwan president.
China is aware that its actions towards Taiwan are under global scrutiny, especially in light of the recent invasion of Ukraine by Russian President Vladimir Putin. Beijing’s efforts to position itself as an agent of peace in that conflict and repair ties with Europe may influence its response to the meeting.
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